Banks & Finance

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Sometimes it’s the little slips that reveal the truth.

During a discussing on Prime Time (4th report) about what should be done to help hard pressed homeowners pay their mortgages Fianna Fail TD, Michael McGrath said:

If people feel that there’s an easy way out then why would anyone continue to make repayments?

In other words, those struggling with massive mortgages must be closely watched in case they try to cheat the state out of money.

Meanwhile the ‘easy way out’ provided by Fianna Fail for bankers and property developers is near completion – and those struggling with massive mortgages will be paying the bill.

The latest report by the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) on Ireland is damning.

The economy will shrink by 2.4% next year and the country will suffer from permanently lower living standards. The property bubble, an unbalanced tax system and inadequate banking regulation are the principal causes of the collapse according to the OECD.

Defending its rosy assessment of the Irish economy just 18 months ago the OECD said that on that occasion it had based its findings on statistics provided by the Irish government (Irish Examiner).

And therein lies the central problem facing all outside organisations and governments when dealing with Irish politicians and officials – they will always be lied to.

Lying, dissembling, hypocrisy, misrepresentation and denial are part and parcel of the Irish official mindset; it’s a mindset that has become an integral and fully accepted part of Irish culture.

When outside organisations are dealing with Irish officialdom they invariably assume they are dealing with a typical Western democracy where honesty and accountability are seen as crucially important aspects in running a modern state.

On yesterday’s Lunchtime Eamon Keane picked up on a sentence from the OECD report concerning the setting up of Nama which demonstrates the naivety of outsiders when it comes to dealing with the Irish.

For Nama to fulfill these roles it is essential it has the necessary resources and expertise. That appropriate incentives exist for those working with Nama to achieve its objectives and that its independence from political and industry pressures is ensured.

Even a cursory examination of the Nama project cannot but help conclude that it is being set up under a cloak of secrecy and deception specifically designed to serve political and industry interests.

Green Party leader and Minister for the Environment, John Gormley was crystal clear on how the Government is going to deal with Sean Fitzpatrick (Six One News, 6th report).

He will be pursued for every penny and I’m very confident that the Minister for Finance will do that. He will not spare Mr. Fitzpatrick and I don’t think the Irish people would accept that.

These are not the words of a clear minded politician with the best interests of his country at heart.

They’re the words of a man who operates within a corrupt system of government saying what he has to say because he foolishly believes that the implementation of his party’s agenda is more important than the rooting out of the disease of corruption.

As in all previous cases of a similar kind the corrupt political and administrative system will make arrangements to ensure that Sean Fitzpatrick suffers little or no loss.

The Irish taxpayer will be forced to pay most if not all of his liabilities and, despite what Gormley says, they will accept it because the great bulk of Irish citizens ignorantly labour under the delusion that power comes from above rather than from below.

Copy to:
John Gormley

Brian Lenihan was asked on Prime Time why it was taking so long to see results from investigations into Anglo Irish Bank when the US authorities could charge, convict and send Bernie Madoff in six months.

He said he was frustrated that bankers haven’t been jailed yet, that there was a massive ongoing police investigation and he was confident that investigation would yield results.

The Minister is talking total, absolute, undiluted waffle. Let me repeat once again – nobody will be charged never mind face a jail sentence as a result of what went on at Anglo Irish Bank.

The so called ‘investigation’ is nothing more than the by now well established state strategy of delaying matters until the whole case can be quietly dropped.

The so called financial regulatory system that has long facilitated and protected the scumbags who infest the Irish banking sector is still in place.

The same attitudes, the same strategies, the same secrecy laws are still there and will be used to protect Fitzpatrick and his cronies.

Only a complete clean out of personnel and a revolutionary reform of the system will see standards come anywhere close to international norms. There is not the slightest indication that such reform is in the pipeline.

We can see that nothing has changed by simply analysing a recent report in the Sunday Independent on the Anglo Irish Bank investigation.

The many anonymous ‘sources’ quoted in the article are obviously government sources.

Sources (Garda) say they will not be in a position to make arrests and seek charges until next year at the earliest, because of the complexities of the case.

Sources say there’s a massive amount of paper and electronic documents to be examined so don’t expect any developments this side of Christmas.

So, very complex, mountains of documents to examine. The source didn’t specify which Christmas.

Gardai rejected comparisons with the Bernie Madoff case which saw him in jail after only six months. They point out that Madoff had been intermittently under investigation since the mid 1990s.

This is a pathetic attempt to convince that there’s nothing odd about Irish state and police investigations; that our standards are on a par with any country.

This is rubbish and the Madoff comparison is ridiculous. There had been a number of probes into the activities of Madoff which went nowhere but as soon as substantial evidence became available the police acted immediately and Madoff was put under immediate arrest.

There was immediate and clear evidence of wrong doing in the Anglo Irish case but instead of arrest Fitzpatrick was allowed to head off for a month on a golfing holiday in South Africa. Nearly a year later and we’re still waiting for the Gardai to bring him, or anybody, in for questioning.

The thrust of the Garda investigation is to gather sufficient proof to convince the Director of Public Prosecutions that there was “intent” on the part of Anglo Irish staff to commit offences and not, as they would argue, that there was simple incompetence.

Translation: It’s going to be extremely difficult to convince the Director of Public Prosecutions that anything illegal occurred. The DPP is answerable to nobody, his decisions cannot be questioned and he usually takes a number of years to decide in cases like this.

This is usually the point where all possibility of criminal charges is abandoned and the case is handed over to the safe house of Office of Corporate Enforcement where it will be allowed to harmlessly enter history.

With a total of only 65 investigators in the Fraud Bureau and the emphasis on the Anglo Irish investigation, sources say the bureau is under pressure to complete other high-profile fraud investigations.

They are also “completely snowed under” with credit card and other equally complex computer and internet frauds. The amount of fraud under investigation is so great that cases involving less than €200,000 have been temporarily sidelined, according to one source.

Translation: We would really love to press charges in the Anglo Irish case but unfortunately we just don’t have the resources.

A legal source told the Sunday Independent that the public’s expectation that those identified as being involved in alleged illegality in Anglo Irish should be arrested quickly was “unrealistic”.

He pointed out that fraud cases were notoriously complicated and the Gardai would only move to arrests when they had completed their case, proved intent and already had guidance from the Director of Public Prosecutions.

Translation: The public are stupid and don’t understand that fraud investigations can be very complicated. The public are asked to ignore the fact that most other jurisdictions regularly prosecute fraudsters quickly and efficiently.

There is also relatively little experience here in investigating large-scale share manipulation. The largest case involving alleged share fixing to come before the courts was that of the DCC disposal of shares in Fyffes in 2000.

In fact, there is no experience whatsoever of investigating large-scale or even small-scale share manipulation in Ireland. The Irish Stock Exchange has never in its entire history prosecuted anybody.

We don’t even know if the ISE has ever investigated anybody because, like the Financial Regulator, it operates under an iron curtain of secrecy laws.

The Office of the Director of Corporate Enforcement never prosecuted, sources say, because the case would have had no certainty of success and would have “swallowed up all their resources” and would have faced a well-financed legal defence.

Prosecutions in the Fyffes/DCC case should have been taken by the Financial Regulator, the ISE and the Gardai – they did nothing. The case was left with the ODCE because his office has virtually no powers and operates on a pathetic budget of €5.5 million.

As I’ve said before the ODCE is nothing more than a safe house for fraudsters like Flavin where their cases are practically guaranteed to gather dust for years.

Gardai say they expect that well-resourced legal defences will be mounted in any cases arising from Anglo Irish.

Again, this is a standard marker that concern for taxpayer’s money may be used as an excuse for doing nothing.

Let me state once again – Neither Sean Fitzpatrick nor any of his cronies will ever be prosecuted; they will never be sent to jail.

Copy to:
Minister for Finance
Financial Regulator
ODCE
ISE

Aer Lingus has refused to say if disgraced banker, Sean Fitzpatrick, availed of free flights on the airline (Irish Independent).

Aer Lingus has refused to give details of other directors who may have availed of the perk.

Aer Lingus has refused to give details about a Gold Circle club which allows members to relax in exclusive airport lounges while waiting for flights. (Bizarre isn’t it – An official golden circle does actually exist)

Transport Minister Noel Dempsey has refused to defend the taxpayer’s interests in Aer Lingus only managing to limply mouth that he was “sure” the perks were under review.

Fitzpatrick, who has refused to answer questions on the Anglo Irish Bank scandal, and is also refusing to make any comment on this matter contemptuously informed the nation.

I don’t talk to the media.

Scientist Harvey Rubin suggests a new financial regulatory system based on the adaptive abilities of bacteria in nature (New Scientist).

Two results in particular will resonate with the financial sector.

One predicts which bacterial genes are essential and which can be knocked out without killing the organism.

This is the bacterial version of asking “is this bank too big to fail; if I get rid of it, will the whole system crash?”

The second models how flocks of birds or schools of fish perform collective tasks without centralised coordination. It is not a big stretch to propose that financial group behaviour, like panic selling, may be analysed using these tools.

I think, under this system, Anglo Irish Bank would have been rejected as non essential.

Brian Lenihan, admitting that the NAMA legislation doesn’t force the banks to do very much, said they have a moral obligation to do the right thing.

I recommend this excellent analysis Gavin links to of the danger this government has exposed the taxpayer to in its scramble to protect the interests of bankers.

During a discussion on NAMA today on RTE news (1st report, 1st item) there was a very interesting exchange between RTEs Business Editor, David Murphy and former Bank of Ireland chief executive Mike Soden on the possibility of corruption entering into the process.

David Murphy:

In this whole process as NAMA begins to try and run these loans as they’ve been acquired it’s fairly clear that there is latitude for corruption unless there’s significant measures in there to stop it…

…if you have corrupt individuals there at the helm within NAMA or elsewhere they are in a very, very powerful position and they are going to be making significant deals with significant investors…

…So there is going to be an issue there and it’s really important they make sure that part of the legislation is watertight.

Mike Soden:

One of the things that I’ve suggested a couple of times is that everything discussed between NAMA, the Government, the bankers and the developers should be done under oath.

The consequences of that is if you commit perjury there’s an automatic jail sentence and until we get some teeth into the legislation we are not going to get the results we want.

You’re saying (assuming) – ‘Everybody will behave as good boys’, well I don’t believe it and I think we have to make sure that they do behave.

But if the NAMA officials and experts are doing the valuations what then is the big risk?

Murphy:

One of the risks is that you’re in a situation where NAMA is going to take over an awful lot of properties and obviously there’s going to be latitude for people who want to buy those sites at certain prices to try to bribe public officials…

…Obviously we’re talking about buying an enormous amount of property in what is a falling market. If that market rebounds that property could be very valuable.

Our history as a country isn’t exactly squeaky clean when it comes to corruption both at government and builder levels.

Soden’s comment about automatic jail sentences for perjury is hilarious.

We have witnessed numerous politicians, businessmen and government officials lie through their teeth under oath at tribunals and other investigations. Not a single one has ever been charged never mind actually jailed.

It is only ordinary citizens who end up in jail for perjury, politicians, property developers and bankers are obviously exempt.

Provision has been made in the legislation that makes it illegal for interested parties to lobby politicians but it is an absolute certainty, given the rampant level of corruption in Ireland. that this law will also be ignored.

Senator Shane Ross writes today about the various activities of former Financial Regulator, Liam O’Reilly.

O’Reilly is a director of Irish Life & Permanent and, at the same time, chairman of the Chartered Accountancy Regulatory Body (CARP) which is investigating the €8 billion deposits exchange between Irish Life and Permanent and Anglo Irish Bank last year.

Not to worry though, a spokesman for the Institute of Chartered Accountants of Ireland, the body that oversees CARP, said that in their opinion there was no conflict of interest – Well, that’s all right then. If the ICAI is happy, we’re all happy.

Senator Ross also reminds us that O’Reilly was the Financial Regulator who failed to act against AIB overcharging in the years leading up to 2001. And as we witnessed last week AIB is still faithfully preserving that age old traditon of overcharging by Irish banks.

The Senator didn’t mention that O’Reilly is also a company director of Merrill Lynch which is under investigation for a potentially massive irregularity which may involve undisclosed losses of £284 million.

The Financial Regulator is ‘monitoring’ the situation but, as usual, is unable to make any comment because of strict secrecy laws.

And of course Merrill Lynch is also advising the Government on how to manage the financial crisis.

So, all in all, a great big happy family.

For a clear, no nonsense analysis of NAMA and how the taxpayer is about to be screwed, I recommend this article by David McWilliams.

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