Fine Gael leader Enda Kenny thinks that Bertie Ahern will be in trouble if he fails to provide clear answers to the Tribunal. Kenny is wrong.
For Ahern, this episode is nothing more than an irritant.
He knows that standards in Irish public life operate from the sewer, that most Irish citizens are docile and easily fooled, that the media quickly loses interest as soon as the next scandal breaks and most of all he knows that there is no authority in the state with the courage or power to actually make him accountable.
He may be mildly concerned that if the Greens decide to abandon ship, he will have the bother of rearranging his power base.
He has nothing else to worry about.